This is always the question right? I mean, after all, we already know what is available on our rate sheets at the moment, but the most valuable question always asks for tomorrow's MBS prices today. Forgetting for a moment that you'll usually LOSE more money thinking that way than you'll make, let's suspend GUTFLOP and see if we have...Read More
Heading into the 5pm "what a slow day in the mortgage market" marking period... The FN 4.0 is -0-03 at 98-01 yielding 4.189% and the FN 4.5 is flat on the day at 101 the rock yielding 4.39%. The secondary market current coupon is 4.33%. The CC yield is 61bps over the 10yr TSY note yield and 58.6 basis points over the 10 yr swap rate. Stat...Read More
10 year auction has impressive demand, but at higher rates. 3.45 Bid To Cover, but 3.735 % high yield with 70.94% of the bids at high yield MBS and Treasuries both slightly better on the announcement 4.5's are now down only 2 ticks on the day at 100-29 and 10yr yields are back down to 3.72+ from 3.74+ Here is a breakdown of the auction results:...Read More
4.5 MBS down 6 ticks to 100-26 10yr Tsy about 5bps higher at 3.743 (vs. 5pm yesterday) Wholesale Trade Improves from -.8% to -.2%, but misses expectation of +.2%, no one cares Pre-Auction Concession + range dynamics weigh on 10's, MBS follow The movements in bonds this AM tells us just how focused the market is on the upcoming auction. Granted,...Read More
Good Morning. I've had some great coaches in my lifetime...none better than my high school/juniors hockey skipper. Many of the messages he bestowed upon me have carried over from the locker room into my professional life. One of my favorites is the K.I.S.S principle. KEEP IT SIMPLE STUPID This is incredibly relevant to the current market enviro...Read More
10yr Notes progressively improved into the PM , ending 5 ticks better on the day with a yield of 3.70. MBS fought off much of the AM weakness in tsy's, and rallied just as well into the PM, reaching 101-15 at 4pm. But then we ended 4 ticks down on the day at 101-01! WHAT?!?!? So you're tellin' me MBS effectively erased all gains from th...Read More
MBS Off To The Races with 4.5's up 8 ticks to 101-15! 10yr up 5 ticks on the day dropping yield to 3.70 (through post auction resistance) Reprices for the better = highly likely From the Ninja: Mortgages are still on hold as today’s 3yr note auction held few surprises-everyone loves the shorter end of the curve; don’t you? $40 billi...Read More
Immediately following the 3yr Treasury Note auction, treasuries weakened while MBS held steady. Since then, MBS have lost a few ticks, but the 4.5 remains positive on the day, up 1 tick at 101-07. The 10yr note is also up a tick leaving the yield just under 3.72. The 10yr's post auction selling turned the corner very much in line with yesterday...Read More
I am kinda bummed no one laughed at my Kathy Ireland reference in MBS OPEN . Her dress was so tight you could see her liver processing the booze (that's a rumor). I suppose I could have poked fun at Sarah Jessica Parker's "Queen of the Nile" get-up. Ugh. You guys are killing me. Is this one of those "you had to be there"...Read More
Good Morning. Happy Standardized Test Tuesday! My nephew has Maryland School Assessment tests today, we were pre-gaming this morning. I remember those days pretty well...mostly because they were so incredibly boring and slow. Also because the test's time slots subtracted from favored subjects such as recess and P.E. What I should really be sayi...Read More
